The Second NonProphets Podcast Is Available

In the second episode of the NonProphets Podcast—which can be downloaded on iTunes and on Blubbry—we talk about how much we should revise our estimates of Donald Trump’s chance of winning, ask how wrong our Brexit referendum forecasts were, consider whether it is inappropriate to forecast some questions, and look at a possible black swan in the Middle East. As always, if you have questions, ideas for future episodes, or would like to suggest a possible black swan event, use the contact page or e-mail us at (nonprophetspod [at]

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