Things Could Change

In this episode (recorded 10/22/18), we discuss US politics ahead of the midterm elections. We talk about whether we should care about nuclear weapons now that the Trump administration says it will withdraw from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty; why we aren’t tackling big problems like the danger of nuclear war and climate change; Michael Howard’s suggestion in The Invention of Peace that we go to war partly out of boredom and Daniel Boorstin’s concept in The Image of “pseudo-events” that are created just to be reported; immigration and the construction of national identity; what will matter in the midterms; the Missouri Senate race; voter enthusiasm in the midterms; and Texas Senate race. We conclude that Democrats have something like a 70-80% chance of retaking the House.

Listeners who are interested in trying PredictIt to make bets on things like the midterm elections—check out our interview with PredictIt’s Will Jennings here—have until Election Day (November 6) to get up $20 of their first deposit matched by taking advantage of our promotional link:

The intro music for this episode is a clip from “I Can Change” from South Park: Bigger, Longer & Uncut. You can find NonProphets on BlubrryiTunesStitcher and Google Play. As always, if you have questions, ideas for future episodes, or would like to suggest a possible black swan event, you can use our contact page or e-mail us at (nonprophetspod [at] If you enjoy this podcast, please rate us and recommend us to your friends.

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