Doing the Wrong Thing

In this episode (recorded 7/18/20), we catch up on what we did during our hiatus. We talk about why people aren’t doing more to fight the spread of the COVID-19; the role of resentment and grievance in US politics; the lack of empathy in American governance; the prospects of attaining “herd immunity” to COVID-19; how the history of epidemics repeats; our attempts to get COVID-19 tests; and when the US might return to semi-normalcy.

The article we discussed about the West’s “resentment epidemic” is here. “The Good Judgment dashboard with superforecaster forecasts for the number of COVID-19 cases and deaths is here. Metaculus’ infectious disease prediction markets are here. Youyang Gu’s US COVID-19 projections are here.

The intro music is a clip from Kaki King’s “Doing the Wrong Thing”. You can find NonProphets on BlubrryiTunes, Spotify, Stitcher and Google Play. As always, if you have questions, ideas for future episodes, or would like to suggest a possible black swan event, you can use our contact page or e-mail us at (nonprophetspod [at] If you enjoy this podcast, please rate us and recommend us to your friends.

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