About

NonProphets is a podcast about forecasting. Atief is a lawyer and a dope MC living in Missouri. Robert works with the Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and lives in Hawaii (follow him on Twitter here). Scott lives in Romania and is the most interesting man in the world. We earned the right to be called superforecasters by being among the top forecasters in the Good Judgment Project, an experimental forecasting tournament sponsored by the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity. We now forecast geopolitical questions professionally for Good Judgment, Inc.

The podcast intro music is “I dunno” by grapes feat. J. Lang and Morusque (c) copyright 2008 licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution (3.0) license. The podcast logo and website banner were made by efrainramos.

DISCLAIMER: The views expressed in this podcast are those of the speakers, and do not necessarily reflect the opinions, policies, or positions of any organization or its members, including any mentioned forecasting platform or organization. All content, including any written or spoken discussion, analysis, opinion, estimate, or, of course, forecast, reflects the judgment of the speaker or writer at a particular time. They are not promises or guarantees; rely on them at your own risk. Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and this podcast is intended to entertain (the audience and ourselves) only. Forecasts are not prophecies, and they may change substantially and/or frequently due to new facts, a new evaluation of old facts, or a myriad of other factors. In fact, it’s helpful to revisit, re-evaluate, and, if necessary, revise forecasts with some frequency. You have been warned.