NonProphets is a podcast about forecasting by three superforecasters. We earned the right to be called superforecasters by being among the top forecasters in the Good Judgment Project, an experimental forecasting tournament sponsored by the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity. We now forecast professionally for Good Judgment, Inc.
Atief Heermance is an administrative lawyer in St. Louis, Missouri.
Scott Eastman is a photographer in Sibiu, Romania.
DISCLAIMER: The views expressed in this podcast are those of the speakers, and do not necessarily reflect the opinions, policies, or positions of any organization or its members, including any mentioned forecasting platform or organization. All content, including any written or spoken discussion, analysis, opinion, estimate, or, of course, forecast, reflects the judgment of the speaker or writer at a particular time. They are not promises or guarantees; rely on them at your own risk. Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and this podcast is intended to entertain (the audience and ourselves) only. Forecasts are not prophecies, and they may change substantially and/or frequently due to new facts, a new evaluation of old facts, or a myriad of other factors. In fact, it’s helpful to revisit, re-evaluate, and, if necessary, revise forecasts with some frequency. You have been warned.