Superforecaster Interviews
Want to know what superforecasters are like? Here are links to our ongoing series of interviews with superforecasters:
- Michael Story, Good Judgment director (January 26, 2017)
- Sander Wagner, sociologist (March 7, 2017)
- Roman Hagelstein, economist (April 14, 2017)
- Elaine Rich, pharmacist (July 17, 2017)
- Welton Chang, political psychologist (September 20, 2017)
- Bruno Jahn, consultant and author (November 1, 2017)
- Marc Koehler, Good Judgment vice president (January 4, 2019)
- Dan Mayland, novelist (March 1, 2019)
- Justin Crow, social epidemiologist (April 5, 2020)
We also recommend this Wharton School video interview of superforecasters.
Other Interviews
Here are links to other interviews we’ve done about forecasting and the future:
- Seth Baum, executive director of the Global Catastrophic Risk Institute, on existential risk (October 20, 2016 and December 22, 2016)
- Colin Teichholtz, portfolio manager at Pine River Capital, on financial forecasting (August 3, 2017)
- Shahar Avin, research associate at the Cambridge Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, on artificial intelligence (September 27, 2017)
- Kathryn McNabb Cochran, Good Judgment Chief Scientist, on forecasting question development (January 23, 2018)
- Will Jennings, head of public engagement of PredictIt, on prediction markets (April 24, 2018)
- Byron Reese, CEO of Gigaom and author of The Fourth Age, on automation and artificial intelligence (May 2, 2018)
- Anthony Aguirre, UC Santa Cruz physicist and co-founder of both Metaculus, the Future of Life Institute, on forecasting and existential risk (March 15, 2019)
- David Epstein, author of Range and The Sports Gene, on the advantages of being a generalist (July 23, 2019)
- Michael Signer, former mayor of Charlottesville and the author of Cry Havoc, on the events surrounding the Unite the Right rally in August 2017 (February 21, 2020)
