Episode 15: New Year Forecasts

We start our first podcast of 2017 (recorded on 1/4/17) by estimating the over/under on the number of times Donald Trump will mention Rosie O’Donnell on Twitter in 2017. We go on to talk about policy-making an era when people don’t trust scientific expertise. Roberts wonders if the fate of the European Union could turn on the presidential election in France. And we all agree that Trump is more likely to strike the North Korean nuclear program preemptively than Clinton would have been.

We finish by sharing our New Year’s resolutions: Robert wants to write a book; Scott wants to get his Ph.D. dissertation done; and Atief wants to have the hosts of the Atheist Community of Austin radio show that is our namesake (“The Non Prophets”)  come on our podcast as guests. The intro music for this episode is a clip from Death Cab for Cutie, “The New Year”.

You can find NonProphets on iTunes here. As always, if you have questions, ideas for future episodes, or would like to suggest a possible black swan event, you can use the contact page or e-mail us at (nonprophets [at] nonprophetspod.com). And if you enjoy this podcast, please rate us on iTunes and recommend us to your friends.

Episode 12: Fake News, Real Consequences

In Episode 12, we look at how “fake news” and affects politics and our ability to forecasting political events. We share how we go about figuring out what to trust in the news. We also recommend going to AllSides to see how stories are being covered by media outlets with different partisan orientations. Then we go on to talk about national elections in Austria and France in light of the the surge of far-right nationalism around the world. Next week we will be back with a special holiday forecasting podcast!

As always, if you have questions, ideas for future episodes, or would like to suggest a possible black swan event, use the contact page or e-mail us at (nonprophets [at] nonprophetspod.com). And if you enjoy this podcast, please rate us on iTunes and recommend us to your friends.

The NonProphets Podcast Is Live

The NonProphets Podcast is available for download on iTunes and Blubbry! In the first episode, we introduce ourselves, discuss the probability that National Front Leader Marine Le Pen will advance to the second round of the upcoming French presidential election, debate Donald Trump’s chances in the November US election, and conduct our inaugural Black Swan Hunt. If you have questions, ideas for future episodes, or would like to suggest a possible black swan event, use the contact page or e-mail us at (nonprophets [at] nonprophetspod.com).